Tuesday, July 7, 2009

Xinjiang Riots Revenge

The massive rioting and popular insurrection that has swept through the Xinjiang region of the People's Republic of China (P.R.C.) have taken a turn for the worse. What was originally a mainly-Uighur outburst against perceived unfairness by the central government has now become a mass reprisal by the Han Chinese population against the Uighur population... and Security Forces that were sweeping Uighur neighborhoods to crack down on the first round of riots are now caught between the Uighurs and vengeful armed Han mobs.

There is more than a little evidence that the P.R.C. central government is reaching the limit of its patience in this matter. The open question is whether they will come down hard on the Han rioters or simply assist them in a city-wide massacre.

The major city, Urumqi, has a greater number of Han than of Uighurs, but the region as a whole is still predominantly Uighur. *If* the riots in Urumqi turn into an effort to expel or kill the urban Uighur population, the entire region is simply going to explode in hatred against the immigrant Han and the central government. Considering how important Xinjiang is to the resource base of the P.R.C., that's going to mean civil war...

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