Showing posts with label Oceania. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Oceania. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Fiji tosses Aus, NZ diplomats

The Bainimarama junta was looking to re-stack the High Court, and the Governments of Australia and New Zealand made it clear that *whoever* got hired into the jobs was going to get added to the travel ban on the junta leadership. Fiji, to say the least, disapproved:
The latest spat is over a group of expatriate judges from Sri Lanka that Fiji wants to hire to replace some of those fired by Bainimarama's administration in a power grab earlier this year.

Australia and New Zealand told the judges this week that if they take up the posts in Fiji they would be subject to travel bans the two countries have placed on all senior officials in Bainimarama's government because of the coup.

...

In April, Bainimarama ally President Ratu Josefa Iloilo fired all of Fiji's judicial officers after a senior court ruled that the commander's government was illegal. Since then, Bainimarama has been appointing new judges, with critics complaining they are not independent appointments.
And with that, hi-ho-and-out-they-go...

The Heads of Mission for Australia and New Zealand have been given 24 hours (Wednesday, local time) to be out of Fiji.

Saturday, October 3, 2009

Philippines Typhoon adds to disaster

Thankfully, it seems to have avoided a direct hit on the Manila metro area, instead brushing by to the north, but given the sheer size of the storm it is likely that secondary flooding will add to the disaster already present.
Officials had feared rain would spark fresh floods in Manila since reservoirs and dams around the capital are full and the sewage system is inundated with mud and rubbish brought by last week's deluge.

"Our relief work slowed down because we placed our troops on standby for possible rescue operations in case of floods," said Lieutenant Colonel Ernesto Torres, spokesman of the national disaster agency.

"But the typhoon was hardly felt here."
If that is all, then wonderful. Rescue/Recovery efforts in the Manila area can go on, and new resources as they arrive can be tasked to the north of Luzon where the latest damage is pretty severe.

*Rumor* has it that the Reagan Carrier Strike Group of the U.S. Navy is likely to be diverted to provide aid now that this storm has swept through. That would be a good thing.

...because this is shaping up to be a bad autumn in Southeast Asia and Oceania.

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Back-to-back Earthquakes in Oceania

A bad day, to say the least.

Reports are now being confirmed in detail from the region of the Samoas and Tonga stating that over 100 people are feared dead after an 8.0 magnitude earthquake hit southwest of American Samoa and then a tsunami smashed everything along the various islands coastlines.

Far to the west, across Indonesia and many hours later, a 7.9 magnitude earthquake hit off the coast of the island of Sumatra, collapsing buildings over a wide area. It looks very bad...
Rustam Pakaya, the head of the health ministry's disaster centre, said via a telephone text message that a hospital in Padang in the area near the epicentre of the quake had also collapsed.

"Jamil hospital collapsed and thousands of people are trapped in the rubble of buildings," Pakaya said.
Coming just days after the Philippines floods and now the same storm system hitting Viet Nam, this is going to be a very taxing time for relief efforts.

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

That's quite enough, Mr. Bainimarama

The Foreign Minsters of the Commonwealth bloc of nations are likely to recommend another suspension of Fiji at the meeting of the 53-nation group on Friday, according to New Zealand sources cited by the AP. This was the latest straw on the camel's back of patience:
Self-appointed Prime Minister Frank Bainimarama, the armed forces chief who seized power in a 2006 coup, announced President Ratu Josefa Iloilo would step down on Tuesday.

He will be replaced in the interim by Vice President Ratu Epeli Nailatikau, widely seen as a mentor for the ambitious prime minister. Nailatikau was appointed foreign minister after the coup and assured Pacific leaders that elections would be held by April 2009—a pledge the regime has since broken, leading to its growing isolation.
Fiji is already under suspension by the Pacific Islands Forum and is under sanction by the E.U., Australia and New Zealand.

***

For more information and links to resources on the Fiji situation, I have the pleasure of once again recommending Fiji: The way it was, is and can be. This source cites material from all sides of the issue, and indicates the political leanings of those sources as best known.

Monday, July 27, 2009

Arrests in Papua Murders

Seven individuals, including 2 employees of Freeport's Grasberg mining complex, have been arrested in the cases of three killings on the approach road to the mine.

The report as of now makes no assertion as to any affiliation of the accused, whether they are brigands, anti-government militants, *or* rival security providers currently trying for new contracts "guarding" the mine.

***

Previous discussion on this topic in The Weekly N&C for July 13th, 2009 here at CompHyp.

Monday, July 13, 2009

The Weekly N&C for July 13th, 2009

The Mountain of Ore

It was called Ertsberg by the first Europeans to find it; literally “the Mountain of Ore”. Located in the then-Dutch colony of Netherlands New Guinea (the western half of the island of New Guinea), this enormous reserve of Copper, Silver, and Gold was at first a closely guarded secret. Failing to garner either local or Dutch permission to license mineral exploration in the area, the knowledge of this place faded in the years from the 1930’s (when it was first tentatively identified) until 1959. Then, in one of the storied moments in modern mining exploration, a news report of explorers “trying to locate the source of alluvial gold in rivers flowing into the Arafura Sea” led a geologist in the employ of the Freeport mining company (the then-Freeport Sulphur) to find and read the 1936 report and gain support for an exploration mission. The team of geologists found one of the largest copper ore bodies of modern times… 33 million tons at 2.5% copper, according to the initial estimates. It was a significant find of gold and silver as well. But while the original find has been mined out for all intents and purposes, the complex of the find has expanded with continued exploration. That original number almost pales in comparison to current estimates: Even after almost 30 years of mining, the 2006 estimate of reserves was 2.8 billion tons at 1.09% copper, 0.98 grams/ton of gold, 3.78 grams/ton of silver.

But to “get to” Ertsberg, or Grasberg (as the extended find is named), one had to overcome two very significant obstacles:

1) Location. The mine site is over 100 kilometers inland from the nearest feasible site for a port of loading, and is atop a mountainous region ranging from 10,000 to 14,000 feet (3000~4000 m) in elevation in some of the most inhospitable mountainous jungle in the world. The region was utterly devoid of transport infrastructure at the time.

2) Politics. In 1959, the Netherlands New Guinea holding was under severe pressure to be decolonized. The Dutch administration saw to preparations for independence, and did grant independence to West Papua on December 1st, 1961. But the neighboring nation of Indonesia treated this declaration much the same as they had the independence of South Moluccas in the 1950’s… they prepared an invasion.

Well, location and the required means for access can be overcome, and the means for doing so were within the capability of the mining engineers, but to overcome the political problem required something more shall-we-say old fashioned: a sell-out.

The American Kennedy administration intervened on behalf of the Indonesians. All protests inside the administration that this was simply exchanging one colonial master for another were dismissed in the name of keeping Indonesia out of the Soviet sphere of influence. Secret talks and considerable pressure on the Dutch resulted in the New York Agreement of August, 1962, which placed the territory under a United Nations Temporary Executive Authority October 1st of 1963 and supposedly stipulated an “Act of Free Choice” vote to determine final status. In May of 1963, administration of the territory was transferred to Indonesia… and by September of that year the territory was “quarantined”, made a special military zone under Indonesian control.

Bet you can guess how the “Act of Free Choice” came out.

So after Indonesia claimed a unanimous vote against independence by the unspecified portion of the population they chose to poll, and the Americans went along with the fix, it became a lot easier to get on with building the mine. Not the most glorious moment in American diplomatic honesty, that.

Now 35 years and more have passed since the first mine officially opened in 1973, and during those years the people of West Papua have been under the thumb of the Javanese-led Government of Indonesia (which only began to shake off its own autocratic history with the end of the Suharto dictatorship in 1998) and subject to intentionally invasive population movements that would be called “ethnic cleansing” if it was happening somewhere like Europe.

Freeport, now Freeport-McMoRan operating as PT Freeport, has not been direct party to any of the dirty deeds of the Indonesian overlords. In fact, they employ over 19,000 people in the operation of the mine, the slurry pipeline, the aerial tramway, the concentrator and the loading facilities. But by being license-holder from the Indonesians, and by depending upon Indonesian police and military for external security, Freeport has always been identified as a “collaborator with the occupation”. Given the nature of doing business in Indonesia, it is safe to say that the regime and certain well-connected people have prospered greatly by taking their bite of the royalty payments and other “bureaucratic expenditures” necessary to get things done.

Taken all and all, one might argue that the people of West Papua are in some way morally correct in forming an insurgency against the Indonesian regime. If that insurgency was focused on the regime, this author might *maybe* even agree with that premise. The case studies of the South Moluccas and the only-recently-undone conquest of East Timor (Timor Leste) by Indonesia both make a compelling case against the Indonesian empire-building campaign. But why, in the name of all reason, would anyone think that attacking the very source of regional wealth is a good way to resist the Indonesian occupation? There must be a revenge motive that precludes good sense, or some petty “if we can’t have it, no one can” approach going on.

This is not the way to win independence, gentlemen.

Not by trying to destroy the slurry pipeline (1977). Not by killing two Americans working at the mine (2002). Not by mob action that killed 6 people in a protest demanding the mine be closed (2006). Not by killing a young Australian man who worked at the mine. Not by killing a contract security employee escorting a convoy. Your cause is not helped in the slightest by giving the “counter-terrorist” element of the Indonesian military reason to take the field.

The military occupiers are the ones who have killed the many tens of thousands of West Papuans lost in the years of resistance.

To cast them out, which is *the* goal after all, the lesson of Timor Leste needs be learned.

Find leaders. Not guerrilla band chiefs; leaders with real stature. Get them out where they can make their case.

Open the gates. Find ways to get outsiders in, and get your story out.

Recognize that not everyone in Indonesia agrees with the occupation, and make their ability to have a voice inside Indonesian politics be your voice there as well.

And…

Stop trying to kill the foreigners working at Grasberg. They aren’t drones. They aren’t stupid either. Given a chance to be on the side of the families of the people they work side-by-side with to do their jobs, they likely will be.

Right now, the people of West Papua need all the friends they can get.

***

Addenda:

*If* the murder of Australian Drew Grant was committed by someone else than the movement, that story needs to get out.

The Australian Federal Police investigators who have joined the case are certainly going to look very hard at the evidence. The history of Timor Leste has made them willing to believe the possibility of Indonesian dirty deeds.

***

End Notes:

All notes are embedded in the text as links.

General Information on most all the above-referenced places, politics, and businesses are available at Wikipedia, but in this case *show extreme caution* as to sources and attribution of all information there. This is a highly politicized matter and there are great gaps in some of the history. (cf. the entry on South Moluccas has no historical data from ~1650 to ~1950)

Fair Disclosure: this author’s father was a senior Bechtel Corporation mining project engineer in the period when the Grasberg mine was first built (by that firm).

Wednesday, July 1, 2009

Fiji Delays

The face of the Fijian junta, Commodore Frank Bainimarama, the acting Prime Minister, has announced yet another delay in any election process to restore democratic representation to the government of the South Pacific nation.

First though, he has announced a need to scrap the old constitution and write a new one. That process is said to take until 2013... and then elections can follow the next year.

The good news about that would be getting rid of the ethnically-divided means of electing representation in the 1997 Constitution... and that does need to happen if there is ever to be a practicable concept of "Fijian" as a nationality, not a hyphenated part of some identity... but...

The distinct possibility that such things are being said to draw out the tenure of the junta is real.

As this author has argued recently in other examples, the basis of Rule-of-Law governance is the Constitution *as it exists*. You follow what you have, and it changes by a process of amendment or replacement (whichever is allowed; one of them certainly is).

Fiji would be well served by a new Constitution. Let's let a constitutionally formed government perform that process.

Sunday, May 17, 2009

EU cuts Fiji Sugar

We've mentioned it here before, albeit in a "comments" discussion, that the Republic of Fiji has two main sources of foreign trade income (Sugar and Tourism) that might be targeted to put pressure on the military-backed "government".

Well, make that *one* main source, now:
The European Commission said it had cancelled subsidies worth 24 million euros ($32.37 million) in the absence of any commitment to elections in 2009, as promised by military chief and interim Prime Minister Frank Bainimarama.
Perhaps this will be enough to let good sense take the lead. Fiji is not burdened with a kleptocratic class, as per se, nor are the differences between the ethnic communities by any means insurmountable. But it is well past time for faction leaders to step aside... and that needs happen before any meaningful result will come of new elections.

Saturday, May 9, 2009

Fiji not invited to Japan-Pacific Island Summit

The Government of Japan has advised the military Junta of Fiji that no Cabinet ministers from Fiji are invited to the 5th Japan-Pacific Islands Forum Summit (PALM5), to be held on Hokkaidou (Hokkaido; North Japan) on the 22nd~23rd of this month. So reports the Yomiuri Newspaper, today. (Source in Japanese)
...the policy of not inviting the Cabinet minister of the Fiji junta was decided, (the Government of Japan) understood that it has conveyed this to the Fiji side.  The Fiji diplomatic source on the 9th made clear (their understanding).
(translated in form, by this author)

This revises the announced list of attendees, and is more current than reports from the region citing a Japanese Embassy statement from Fiji earlier today.

Thursday, April 30, 2009

ANZAC Day; Camerone Day

With all the distractions of the last few days, I've been unacceptably lax about keeping track of the date. ANZAC Day came and went (25.April) without the much-deserved 'thank you' that called for. Both countries are still doing their part: the Kiwis are about to send back in their Special Operations troops to Afghanistan (they've been in before) and the Joint Task Forces / ISAF will have another battalion of Diggers in the line soon as well (maybe 700 more troops in total, between 450 regulars, support forces and then Commonwealth SAS). Bless you and thank you, all.

I'm sure that there were other worthy memorials recently as well, and my regrets for any oversight on my part.

***

But come the end of April, there is one day that never slips past...

...the brave stand of Capitaine Danjou and the 65...

...at Hacienda Camarón, April 30th, 1863. Camerone Day.

"Nous avons des cartouches et ne nous rendrons pas!"
Jean Danjou, Capitaine, Légion étrangère

Friday, April 24, 2009

Well, for service to somebody

Ratu Josefa Iloilo, the President of the Republic of the Fiji Islands, has chosen at this time to award a Companion of the Order of Fiji to reinstated Prime Minister Frank Bainimarama, who just happens to also be the head of the military and chief Junta plotter in the 2006 military coup that, well, brought the job of President to R. J. Iloilo.

As to the service to humanity part of the award...

I'm not quite sure how the crackdown on Free Speech and enforcement of censorship (since his April 11th return to the Premiership) quite qualifies.

Thursday, April 9, 2009

Fiji democracy now a distant vision

The military coup-installed government of Fiji has faced its final legal challenge this week, and lost. The December, 2006, junta has been ruled illegal by the Court of Appeal. The matter can be taken to the Supreme Court of Fiji, but that matters little for now as the Court of Appeal was unwilling to grant a stay to the ruling, and then...
Fijian President Ratu Josefa Iloilo, whose military government has been declared illegal by the Court of Appeal, revoked the constitution on Friday and sacked the country's judges, according to reports from the capital Suva. He decreed that fresh elections will not be held for five years.
--source: DPA, or if you'd prefer, here is the AP version.

So down goes any pretense of legitimacy. The architect of the junta, V. Bainimarama, remains head of the Kingdom's military.

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Victoria Fires

The pictures have been all over the news.

When a wild brush fire in a developed country kills as many as 300 people over a couple of days, the media picks up and notices.

What one likely has heard, if one follows the news, is that the Fires seem to have been Arson.

One fire bug sets one fire and then pulls back to watch the fun... ten fires in an afternoon, if he's ardent about seeing his fire grow...

The Victoria Fires include over 400 separate fires.

Twenty three major blazes are still out of control.

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

Fiji Tit-For-Tat

The diplomatic discord between New Zealand and Fiji has taken a turn for the worse, with Fiji's Interim Government expelling the NZ Acting High Commissioner and New Zealand replying in-kind.

Fiji has been under a military coup since 2006.

This issue may lead to further defense cooperation problems, and certainly does not bode well for the process to return democracy to the Republic of the Fiji Islands.