Today, in the process of shutting down yet another round of pro-Ravalomanana protests, Armed Forces Minister Noel Rakotonandrasana (of the Rajoelina junta) has declared that such threats as that from COMESA must be taken seriously:
"In the end, that (military intervention) could become a reality. We are on maximum alert to guarantee the security of Madagascar's territory," said Rakotonandrasana.That pretty much lights the confrontation lamp, but several questions remain:
All measures had been taken including the surveillance of the world's fourth largest island's coastline, he said.
. With France refusing to deny the junta, who else has the military means and motivation to attempt an intervention? Egypt?
.. Will the various COMESA governments now tolerate an effort to arm an insurgency against the junta?
... Doesn't this just give the junta a lot more reasons to crack down?
.... And as long as we are asking questions, where the heck was the outrage from COMESA when matters of Sudan, or D.R. Congo, or Eritrea, or Zimbabwe (Rhodesia) came to be?
I'll bet that the answer somehow involves "this time is different", and maybe "we blame France".